Zilina vs Z. Michalovce Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Slovakia - Super Liga Championship Group - 8 Štadión pod Dubňom· Zilina Tuesday, May 5, 2026 16:00

Zilina PPG 1.93

3-2 MISS

Z. Michalovce PPG 1.29

Away· +53.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina face Z. Michalovce in Slovakia - Super Liga on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Z. Michalovce 24%, so Zilina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Zilina and 1.1 for Z. Michalovce (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.29 for Z. Michalovce. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +53.8%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.3%

Odds: 1.32 EV: -36.2%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 4.85 EV: +20.6%

Away 24.0%

Odds: 7.90 EV: +53.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.42 -16.2%

Over 3.5 39.7% Odds: 2.05 -18.6%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.60 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zilina

2.13

Z. Michalovce

1.07

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -16.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+53.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)