Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / Zemplín Michalovce vs AS Trencin

Zemplín Michalovce vs AS Trencin Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 16:00

Zemplín Michalovce

PPG 1.41 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLWW

UPCOMING

AS Trencin

PPG 1.16 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.9% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.6%0-24.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.6%1-111.9%1-26.7%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.4%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.4%3-14.9%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 49.0% 2.04 -2.5%

Draw 24.4% 27.4% 3.65 -6.6%

Away win 27.8% 32.3% 3.10 -8.3%

Over 2.5 53.8% 63.7% 1.57 -15.5%

Over 3.5 31.7% 40.8% 2.45 -22.3%

BTTS 54.9% 67.6% 1.48 -18.8%

Home O1.5 46.9% 56.5% 1.77 -17.0%

Away O1.5 33.2% 43.5% 2.30 -23.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.9%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 8.3%

#5 1–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zemplín Michalovce1.6

AS Trencin1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE · PPG 1.41

AS TRENCIN · PPG 1.16

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zemplín Michalovce (H) 47.8%

ODDS 2.04 · IMPLIED 49.0% EV -2.5%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -6.6%

AS Trencin (A) 27.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zemplín Michalovce face AS Trencin in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zemplín Michalovce a 48% chance, the draw 24% and AS Trencin 28%, so Zemplín Michalovce are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zemplín Michalovce and 1.1 for AS Trencin (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zemplín Michalovce are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.16 for AS Trencin.

Zemplín Michalovce vs AS Trencin Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovakia - Super Liga Predictions