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Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 18:30

Dunajska Streda

PPG 2.19 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWW

UPCOMING

Slovan Bratislava

PPG 2.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-16.3%0-24.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.6%1-110.9%1-27.0%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.5%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.3%3-15.5%3-23.5%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% 37.9% 2.64 +30.9%

Draw 23.1% 28.6% 3.50 -11.5%

Away win 27.3% 42.4% 2.36 -21.3%

Over 2.5 61.5% 58.8% 1.70 +4.5%

Over 3.5 40.2% 36.4% 2.75 +10.5%

BTTS 61.5% 64.5% 1.55 -4.7%

Home O1.5 49.9% 45.5% 2.20 +9.8%

Away O1.5 37.6% 47.6% 2.10 -21.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.5%

H 50% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.4%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dunajska Streda1.7

Slovan Bratislava1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DUNAJSKA STREDA · PPG 2.19

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA · PPG 2.30

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dunajska Streda (H) 49.6%

ODDS 2.64 · IMPLIED 37.9% EV +30.9%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -11.5%

Slovan Bratislava (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.36 · IMPLIED 42.4% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dunajska Streda face Slovan Bratislava in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dunajska Streda a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Slovan Bratislava 27%, so Dunajska Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dunajska Streda and 1.3 for Slovan Bratislava (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dunajska Streda are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 2.30 for Slovan Bratislava. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +28.7%.

Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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