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FK Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

FK Košice

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWLD

UPCOMING

Dukla Banská Bystrica

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 69% chance

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.0%0-22.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.0%1-17.2%1-25.2%1-32.5%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.1%2-18.8%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-05.0%3-17.2%3-25.2%3-32.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-17.9%4+-25.7%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.9% 63.7% 1.57 -15.4%

Draw 20.4% 25.0% 4.00 -11.0%

Away win 25.6% 22.2% 4.50 +9.1%

Over 2.5 68.4% 69.4% 1.44 -1.5%

Over 3.5 49.4% 47.6% 2.10 +3.7%

BTTS 63.5% 69.4% 1.44 -8.6%

Home O1.5 66.3% 69.4% 1.44 -4.5%

Away O1.5 42.2% 36.4% 2.75 +16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 54% / xG 2.4-1.4 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 1–1 7.2%

#3 3–1 7.2%

#4 1–2 5.2%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FK Košice2.4

Dukla Banská Bystrica1.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FK KOŠICE · PPG 1.36

DUKLA BANSKÁ BYSTRICA · PPG 1.31

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

69%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FK Košice (H) 53.9%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -15.4%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -11.0%

Dukla Banská Bystrica (A) 25.6%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +9.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Košice face Dukla Banská Bystrica in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Košice a 54% chance, the draw 20% and Dukla Banská Bystrica 26%, so FK Košice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for FK Košice and 1.4 for Dukla Banská Bystrica (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Košice are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.31 for Dukla Banská Bystrica. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +16.1%.

FK Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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