Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / Skalica vs FC Kosice

Skalica vs FC Kosice Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Relegation Group - 8 ·Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 16:00

Skalica

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FC Kosice

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-18.0%0-25.4%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.7%1-111.8%1-28.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.7%2-25.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.1%3-14.3%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% 40.0% 2.50 -2.8%

Draw 30.6% 28.6% 3.50 +7.1%

Away win 30.5% 40.3% 2.48 -24.4%

Over 2.5 57.4% 61.7% 1.62 -7.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 39.2% 2.55 -19.7%

BTTS 58.5% 66.7% 1.50 -12.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -7.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.5%

D 31% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skalica1.5

FC Kosice1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SKALICA · PPG 1.50

FC KOSICE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Skalica (H) 38.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -2.8%

Draw 30.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +7.1%

FC Kosice (A) 30.5%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV -24.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skalica face FC Kosice in Slovakia - Super Liga on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skalica a 39% chance, the draw 31% and FC Kosice 31%, so Skalica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Skalica and 1.4 for FC Kosice (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skalica are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for FC Kosice. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 3-1.

Skalica vs FC Kosice Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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