Sitra vs Al Ahli M. Prediction & Tips

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Bahrain - Premier League Regular Season - 20 Tuesday, May 5, 2026 16:00

Sitra PPG 1.11

0-2 MISS

Al Ahli M. PPG 1.44

Over2.5· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.5%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -5.9%

Draw 32.1%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -0.5%

Away 32.5%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -18.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.10 +5.0%

Over 3.5 23.1% Odds: 3.75 -8.0%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sitra

1.17

Al Ahli M.

1.28

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+5.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.11) vs Away AVERAGE (1.44)