← Back to picks 
Bahrain - Premier League Tuesday, May 5, 2026 16:00 
Al Riffa PPG 1.89 
Al Shabbab PPG 0.89
Bahrain - Premier League Tuesday, May 5, 2026 16:00 Al Riffa PPG 1.894-0 MISS
Al Shabbab PPG 0.89Away· +43.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: 1.80 -20.1%
Over 3.5 17.4% Odds: 2.95 -29.2%
BTTS 41.6% Odds: 2.25 -6.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Riffa 1.69
Al Shabbab 0.47
Model Suggestion
Home -29.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -29.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+43.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+43.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=56.6%