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Vikingur vs 07 Vestur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 4, 2026, 17:30

Vikingur

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

07 Vestur

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-16.4%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.1%1-110.5%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.1%2-18.7%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.8%3-14.8%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-12.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% 76.9% 1.30 -20.8%

Draw 27.1% 21.7% 4.60 +24.7%

Away win 12.0% 12.5% 8.00 -4.0%

Over 2.5 39.6% 69.0% 1.45 -42.6%

Over 3.5 19.5% 46.5% 2.15 -58.1%

BTTS 38.9% 59.9% 1.67 -35.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 1.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob38.9%

H 61% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.1%

#2 2–0 14.1%

#3 1–1 10.5%

#4 0–0✓ 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur1.7

07 Vestur0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.6% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR · PPG 2.00

07 VESTUR · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=60.9%

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur (H) 60.9%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -20.8%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +24.7%

07 Vestur (A) 12.0%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV -4.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur face 07 Vestur in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur a 61% chance, the draw 27% and 07 Vestur 12%, so Vikingur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vikingur and 0.6 for 07 Vestur (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for 07 Vestur. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +24.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Vikingur vs 07 Vestur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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