Today / Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin / B36 Torshavn vs NSI Runavik

B36 Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 4, 2026, 17:30

B36 Torshavn

PPG 2.33 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

NSI Runavik

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 38.5% — a clear edge.

+40.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-16.3%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.3%1-111.1%1-25.5%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.8%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.9%3-15.8%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.8%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% 38.5% 2.60 +40.7%

Draw 26.7% 29.9% 3.35 -10.5%

Away win 19.2% 41.7% 2.40 -53.9%

Over 2.5 51.8% 59.9% 1.67 -13.5%

Over 3.5 29.6% 37.7% 2.65 -21.6%

BTTS 53.5% 66.7% 1.50 -19.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 1.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.5%

H 54% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–0✓ 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B36 Torshavn1.8

NSI Runavik1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.8% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

B36 TORSHAVN · PPG 2.33

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 1.67

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

B36 Torshavn (H) 54.1%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +40.7%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -10.5%

NSI Runavik (A) 19.2%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -53.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

B36 Torshavn face NSI Runavik in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B36 Torshavn a 54% chance, the draw 27% and NSI Runavik 19%, so B36 Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for B36 Torshavn and 1.0 for NSI Runavik (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B36 Torshavn are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.67 for NSI Runavik. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +40.7%. This match finished 2-0.

B36 Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

More Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin Predictions