Al-Najma vs Al-Muharraq Prediction & Tips

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Bahrain - Premier League Regular Season - 20 Monday, May 4, 2026 16:00

Al-Najma PPG 1.67

1-3 MISS

Al-Muharraq PPG 2.56

Draw· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.4%

Odds: 5.50 EV: -37.3%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +3.2%

Away 62.8%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -5.8%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.3% Odds: 1.77 -25.1%

Over 3.5 21.5% Odds: 2.95 -36.6%

BTTS 40.0% Odds: 1.83 -26.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Najma

0.63

Al-Muharraq

1.74

Model SuggestionAway -5.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -5.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.56) vs Home GOOD (1.67)