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Botafogo W vs RB Bragantino W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 21:00

Botafogo W

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

RB Bragantino W

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=40.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.6%0-24.5%0-32.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-06.2%1-19.9%1-27.8%1-34.1%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.6%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.2%3-15.1%3-24.0%3-32.1%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.3%4+-22.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.6% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 33.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 67.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob67.2%

H 41% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Botafogo W1.8

RB Bragantino W1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 1.25

RB BRAGANTINO W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=40.6%

Win probability 1X2

Botafogo W (H) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RB Bragantino W (A) 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo W face RB Bragantino W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo W a 41% chance, the draw 26% and RB Bragantino W 34%, so Botafogo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Botafogo W and 1.6 for RB Bragantino W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo W are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.33 for RB Bragantino W. This match finished 0-3.

Botafogo W vs RB Bragantino W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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