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Spain - La Liga Sunday, May 3, 2026 19:00 
Espanyol PPG 1.38 
Real Madrid PPG 1.94
Spain - La Liga Sunday, May 3, 2026 19:00 Espanyol PPG 1.380-2 HIT CS3
Real Madrid PPG 1.94Draw· +7.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.57 -17.9%
Over 3.5 30.1% Odds: 2.40 -27.8%
BTTS 55.5% Odds: 1.55 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-2 ✔
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Espanyol 1.07
Real Madrid 1.69
Model Suggestion
BTTS -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 70 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -19.9%
Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
UPSET_VALUE 63%
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.94) vs Home AVERAGE (1.38)