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Spain - La Liga
Regular Season - 34
Coliseum· Getafe
Sunday, May 3, 2026
14:15
Getafe
PPG 1.31
0-2
MISS
Rayo Vallecano
PPG 0.75
Away· +14.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
39.6%
Odds: 1.90
EV: -24.8%
Draw
34.2%
Odds: 3.20
EV: +9.4%
Away
26.2%
Odds: 4.35
EV: +14.0%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
33.3%
Odds: 2.70
-10.1%
Over 3.5
14.9%
Odds: 5.50
-18.1%
BTTS
42.1%
Odds: 2.30
-3.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Getafe
1.15
Rayo Vallecano
0.89
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 70 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
51%
O2.5/Under
60%
BTTS/No
64%
Score Hit
56%
ROI
-19.9%
Bet Hit
42%
(26 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.75)