Hutnik Krakow vs Warta Poznan Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 30 Stadion Suche Stawy Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:30

Hutnik Krakow PPG 1.86

0-1 MISS

Warta Poznan PPG 1.71

Home· +0.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hutnik Krakow face Warta Poznan in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hutnik Krakow a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Warta Poznan 34%, so Hutnik Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hutnik Krakow and 1.4 for Warta Poznan (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hutnik Krakow are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.71 for Warta Poznan. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.4%

Odds: 2.75 EV: +0.1%

Draw 29.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -12.7%

Away 34.4%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -20.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.0% Odds: 1.85 -3.8%

Over 3.5 29.9% Odds: 3.25 -2.8%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.67 -3.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hutnik Krakow

1.40

Warta Poznan

1.36

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+0.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.71)