Celta Vigo vs Elche Prediction & Tips

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Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 34 Estadio Abanca Balaídos· Vigo Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00

Celta Vigo PPG 1.06

3-1 MISS

Elche PPG 0.44

Away· +18.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.4%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -21.5%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +6.0%

Away 26.7%

Odds: 4.45 EV: +18.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.1% Odds: 1.70 -8.0%

Over 3.5 31.8% Odds: 2.75 -12.6%

BTTS 58.2% Odds: 1.67 -2.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo

1.63

Elche

1.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.44)