Today / Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 / Sestao River vs Utebo
Sestao River vs Utebo Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Group 2 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.56)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 31% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 24.4%
Form & verdict
SESTAO RIVER · PPG 1.63
UTEBO · PPG 1.56
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.56)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Sestao River face Utebo in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sestao River a 38% chance, the draw 31% and Utebo 32%, so Sestao River are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sestao River and 1.2 for Utebo (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sestao River are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.56 for Utebo. This match finished 1-0.