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Sestao River vs Utebo Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 34 Estadio Las Llanas· Sestao Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Sestao River logo Sestao River PPG 1.63
1-0 HIT CS3
Utebo logo Utebo PPG 1.56
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sestao River face Utebo in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sestao River a 38% chance, the draw 31% and Utebo 32%, so Sestao River are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sestao River and 1.2 for Utebo (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sestao River are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.56 for Utebo. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 30.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 31.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: —
Over 3.5 24.4% Odds: —
BTTS 52.9% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sestao River
1.32
Utebo
1.19

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 63%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.56)

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