Today / Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 / Basconia vs Ejea
Basconia vs Ejea Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Group 2 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=52.9%
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%
Form & verdict
BASCONIA · PPG 1.56
EJEA · PPG 0.75
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=52.9%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Basconia face Ejea in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Basconia a 53% chance, the draw 27% and Ejea 20%, so Basconia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Basconia and 1.0 for Ejea (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Basconia are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.75 for Ejea. This match finished 5-1.