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Beasain vs Real Zaragoza B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Group 2 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Beasain

PPG 1.13 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Real Zaragoza B

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-17.9%0-23.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.3%1-112.1%1-26.0%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.4%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.8%3-14.8%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 46.4% — — —

Over 3.5 24.9% — — —

BTTS 51.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.2%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 12.3%

#3 0–0 8.0%

#4 2–0 9.4%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Beasain1.5

Real Zaragoza B1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 24.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BEASAIN · PPG 1.13

REAL ZARAGOZA B · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Beasain (H) 48.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Real Zaragoza B (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Beasain face Real Zaragoza B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beasain a 48% chance, the draw 29% and Real Zaragoza B 23%, so Beasain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Beasain and 1.0 for Real Zaragoza B (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beasain are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 0.50 for Real Zaragoza B. This match finished 3-2.

Beasain vs Real Zaragoza B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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