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Mutilvera vs Amorebieta Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 34 Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren· Mutilva Baja Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Mutilvera logo Mutilvera PPG 1.00
0-2 HIT CS5
Amorebieta logo Amorebieta PPG 1.31
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Mutilvera face Amorebieta in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mutilvera a 26% chance, the draw 31% and Amorebieta 44%, so Amorebieta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Mutilvera and 1.4 for Amorebieta (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mutilvera are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.31 for Amorebieta. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 30.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 43.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: —
BTTS 50.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Mutilvera
1.03
Amorebieta
1.40

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 63%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.31)

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