← Back to picks

Sandecja Nowy vs NKP Podhale Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East logo Poland flag Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 30 Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka· Nowy Sącz Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Sandecja Nowy logo Sandecja Nowy PPG 1.50
0-0 HIT CS2
NKP Podhale logo NKP Podhale PPG 1.21
Away· +10.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandecja Nowy face NKP Podhale in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandecja Nowy a 39% chance, the draw 30% and NKP Podhale 31%, so Sandecja Nowy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sandecja Nowy and 1.2 for NKP Podhale (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandecja Nowy are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.21 for NKP Podhale. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.9%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -28.0%
Draw 30.3%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +1.5%
Away 30.8%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +10.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.3% Odds: 1.80 -14.9%
Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: 3.25 -16.8%
BTTS 53.9% Odds: 1.73 -6.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sandecja Nowy
1.37
NKP Podhale
1.20

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 23.1%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org