Today / Poland - II Liga - East / Sandecja Nowy vs NKP Podhale

Sandecja Nowy vs NKP Podhale Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Sandecja Nowy

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

NKP Podhale

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-19.2%0-25.5%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.5%1-112.6%1-27.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-18.6%2-25.2%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.3%3-13.9%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.8%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% 54.1% 1.85 -28.0%

Draw 30.3% 29.9% 3.35 +1.5%

Away win 30.8% 27.8% 3.60 +10.9%

Over 2.5 47.3% 55.6% 1.80 -14.9%

Over 3.5 25.6% 30.8% 3.25 -16.8%

BTTS 53.9% 57.8% 1.73 -6.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.9%

D 30% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0✓ 7.7%

#3 1–0 10.5%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandecja Nowy1.4

NKP Podhale1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.3% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDECJA NOWY · PPG 1.50

NKP PODHALE · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Sandecja Nowy (H) 38.9%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -28.0%

Draw 30.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +1.5%

NKP Podhale (A) 30.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +10.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandecja Nowy face NKP Podhale in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandecja Nowy a 39% chance, the draw 30% and NKP Podhale 31%, so Sandecja Nowy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sandecja Nowy and 1.2 for NKP Podhale (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandecja Nowy are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.21 for NKP Podhale. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Sandecja Nowy vs NKP Podhale Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions