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Rukh U19 vs Zorya U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 09:00

Rukh U19

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Zorya U19

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-15.9%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.0%1-110.8%1-25.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.2%3-16.0%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-14.2%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.8% — — —

Draw 25.9% — — —

Away win 18.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 31.1% — — —

BTTS 54.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.1%

H 56% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rukh U191.8

Zorya U191.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RUKH U19 · PPG 1.67

ZORYA U19 · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Rukh U19 (H) 55.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zorya U19 (A) 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rukh U19 face Zorya U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rukh U19 a 56% chance, the draw 26% and Zorya U19 18%, so Rukh U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rukh U19 and 1.0 for Zorya U19 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rukh U19 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.25 for Zorya U19. This match finished 1-2.

Rukh U19 vs Zorya U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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