Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

Leverkusen face RB Leipzig in Germany - Bundesliga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leverkusen a 41% chance, the draw 26% and RB Leipzig 33%, so Leverkusen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Leverkusen and 1.5 for RB Leipzig (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leverkusen are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.80 for RB Leipzig. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.2%. This match finished 4-1.