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Pipinsried vs Deisenhofen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Pipinsried logo
Pipinsried
PPG 1.64 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Deisenhofen logo
Deisenhofen
PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-16.0%0-23.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.9%1-110.9%1-26.0%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.8%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.4%3-15.9%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.0%4+-22.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.4%
Draw 26.3%
Away win 21.3%
Over 2.5 55.6%
Over 3.5 33.2%
BTTS 57.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5 62%
BTTS 73%
Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob57.4%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 2–0 8.9%
#4 1–0 9.9%
#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pipinsried1.8
Deisenhofen1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.6% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PIPINSRIED · PPG 1.64

DEISENHOFEN · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Pipinsried (H) 52.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Deisenhofen (A) 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pipinsried face Deisenhofen in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pipinsried a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Deisenhofen 21%, so Pipinsried are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Pipinsried and 1.1 for Deisenhofen (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pipinsried are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.14 for Deisenhofen. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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