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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 10 Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00
Ogre United logo Ogre United PPG 0.50
3-4 MISS
RFS logo RFS PPG 3.00
Home· +89.0% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.5%
Odds: 14.00 EV: +89.0%
Draw 28.3%
Odds: 5.75 EV: +62.7%
Away 58.2%
Odds: 1.17 EV: -31.9%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.4% Odds: 1.45 -44.3%
Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 2.15 -60.0%
BTTS 39.5% Odds: 2.00 -21.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Ogre United
0.65
RFS
1.58

Model Suggestion

Away -31.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -31.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+89.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -16.4%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home POOR (0.50)

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