Sankt Pauli vs FC Koln Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

Sankt Pauli face FC Koln in Germany - Bundesliga on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sankt Pauli a 20% chance, the draw 24% and FC Koln 56%, so FC Koln are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sankt Pauli and 1.7 for FC Koln (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sankt Pauli are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.79 for FC Koln. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.2%. This match finished 1-1.