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Schaffhausen vs Bavois Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:30

Schaffhausen

PPG 1.64 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bavois

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-17.3%0-25.8%0-33.0%0-4+1.7%1 1-07.0%1-111.0%1-28.6%1-34.5%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.2%2-26.4%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.6%3-14.1%3-23.2%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.1%4+-21.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 38.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.1%

A 38% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schaffhausen1.5

Bavois1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHAFFHAUSEN · PPG 1.64

BAVOIS · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Schaffhausen (H) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bavois (A) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schaffhausen face Bavois in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schaffhausen a 35% chance, the draw 27% and Bavois 38%, so Bavois are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Schaffhausen and 1.6 for Bavois (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schaffhausen are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.57 for Bavois. This match finished 3-1.

Schaffhausen vs Bavois Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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