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VfR Mannheim vs Reutlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:30

VfR Mannheim

PPG 1.93 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Reutlingen

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=61.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.3%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.1%1-19.2%1-24.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-17.1%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-16.3%4+-23.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.9% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 15.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.3% — — —

Over 3.5 39.0% — — —

BTTS 57.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob57.8%

H 62% / xG 2.2-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 3–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfR Mannheim2.2

Reutlingen1.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VFR MANNHEIM · PPG 1.93

REUTLINGEN · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=61.9%

Win probability 1X2

VfR Mannheim (H) 61.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reutlingen (A) 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VfR Mannheim face Reutlingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfR Mannheim a 62% chance, the draw 23% and Reutlingen 16%, so VfR Mannheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for VfR Mannheim and 1.0 for Reutlingen (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfR Mannheim are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.86 for Reutlingen. This match finished 1-3.

VfR Mannheim vs Reutlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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