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Ravensburg vs Denzlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:30

Ravensburg

PPG 1.40 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Denzlingen

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.5%0-23.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.9%1-19.2%1-26.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.9%3-16.6%3-24.4%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-15.5%4+-23.6%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 65.9% — — —

Over 3.5 44.1% — — —

BTTS 65.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob65.6%

H 53% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1✓ 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ravensburg2.1

Denzlingen1.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RAVENSBURG · PPG 1.40

DENZLINGEN · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Ravensburg (H) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Denzlingen (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ravensburg face Denzlingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ravensburg a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Denzlingen 23%, so Ravensburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ravensburg and 1.3 for Denzlingen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ravensburg are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.86 for Denzlingen. This match finished 2-1.

Ravensburg vs Denzlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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