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Karlsruher B vs TSV Essingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:30

Karlsruher B

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

TSV Essingen

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.4%0-25.7%0-33.4%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.5%1-19.9%1-28.8%1-35.2%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.3%2-17.6%2-26.8%2-34.0%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.2%3-13.9%3-23.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.1%4+-21.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% — — —

Draw 25.7% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.6% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 66.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.9%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.9%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlsruher B1.5

TSV Essingen1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSRUHER B · PPG 1.14

TSV ESSINGEN · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Karlsruher B (H) 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TSV Essingen (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlsruher B face TSV Essingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlsruher B a 32% chance, the draw 26% and TSV Essingen 42%, so TSV Essingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Karlsruher B and 1.8 for TSV Essingen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlsruher B are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.71 for TSV Essingen. This match finished 1-1.

Karlsruher B vs TSV Essingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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