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Normannia Gmund vs Pforzheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Normannia Gmund

PPG 1.36 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Pforzheim

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-15.1%0-24.4%0-32.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-05.3%1-19.1%1-27.9%1-34.6%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.8%3-14.9%3-24.2%3-32.5%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.3%4+-22.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 36.4% — — —

Over 2.5 68.4% — — —

Over 3.5 46.9% — — —

BTTS 70.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob70.0%

H 39% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2✓ 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Normannia Gmund1.8

Pforzheim1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.9%

Form & verdict PPG

NORMANNIA GMUND · PPG 1.36

PFORZHEIM · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Normannia Gmund (H) 38.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pforzheim (A) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Normannia Gmund face Pforzheim in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Normannia Gmund a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Pforzheim 36%, so Normannia Gmund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Normannia Gmund and 1.7 for Pforzheim (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Normannia Gmund are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.50 for Pforzheim. This match finished 1-2.

Normannia Gmund vs Pforzheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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