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Everton U21 vs Ipswich U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

Regular Season - 19 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:00

Everton U21

PPG 1.11 · HOME

8 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ipswich U21

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.5%0-26.2%0-34.6%0-4+4.4%1 1-03.5%1-18.0%1-29.0%1-36.8%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.6%2-15.9%2-26.6%2-35.0%2-4+4.8%3 3-01.3%3-12.9%3-23.2%3-32.4%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.5% 46.5% 2.15 -47.3%

Draw 20.0% 26.7% 3.75 -25.0%

Away win 55.5% 40.0% 2.50 +38.8%

Over 2.5 71.8% — — —

Over 3.5 51.0% — — —

BTTS 68.8% 74.1% 1.35 -7.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-4

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob68.8%

A 56% / xG 1.5-2.3 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.0%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 1–3 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Everton U211.5

Ipswich U212.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 51.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EVERTON U21 · PPG 1.11

IPSWICH U21 · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.11)

Win probability 1X2

Everton U21 (H) 24.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -47.3%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -25.0%

Ipswich U21 (A) 55.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +38.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Everton U21 face Ipswich U21 in England - Premier League 2 Division One on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Everton U21 a 25% chance, the draw 20% and Ipswich U21 56%, so Ipswich U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Everton U21 and 2.3 for Ipswich U21 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Everton U21 are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 2.00 for Ipswich U21. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +38.8%. This match finished 8-4.

Everton U21 vs Ipswich U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

Match Preview & Prediction

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