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Gornik Leczna W vs GKS Katowice W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Gornik Leczna W

PPG 2.11 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

GKS Katowice W

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.11) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-16.1%0-23.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.8%1-110.8%1-26.7%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.6%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.6%3-15.7%3-23.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.8%4+-22.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 25.0% — — —

Over 2.5 57.9% — — —

Over 3.5 35.5% — — —

BTTS 60.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.5%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 1–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gornik Leczna W1.8

GKS Katowice W1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GORNIK LECZNA W · PPG 2.11

GKS KATOWICE W · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.11) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Gornik Leczna W (H) 48.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

GKS Katowice W (A) 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gornik Leczna W face GKS Katowice W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gornik Leczna W a 49% chance, the draw 27% and GKS Katowice W 25%, so Gornik Leczna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Gornik Leczna W and 1.2 for GKS Katowice W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gornik Leczna W are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 2.50 for GKS Katowice W. This match finished 2-1.

Gornik Leczna W vs GKS Katowice W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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