RFC Seraing U21 vs O. Charleroi Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Lotto Park· Anderlecht Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

RFC Seraing U21 PPG 1.82

5-0 MISS

O. Charleroi PPG 0.70

Home· +51.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

RFC Seraing U21 face O. Charleroi in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RFC Seraing U21 a 78% chance, the draw 13% and O. Charleroi 10%, so RFC Seraing U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for RFC Seraing U21 and 1.2 for O. Charleroi (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RFC Seraing U21 are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 0.70 for O. Charleroi. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +51.3%. This match finished 5-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.6%

Odds: 1.95 EV: +51.3%

Draw 12.5%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -54.4%

Away 9.9%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -67.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 81.4% Odds: 1.50 +22.1%

Over 3.5 64.0% Odds: 2.30 +47.2%

BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.44 -5.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 4-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

RFC Seraing U21

3.24

O. Charleroi

1.16

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +22.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+51.3%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.82), Away POOR (0.70) - Strong consensus