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Francs Borains vs Lokeren-Temse Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 17:15

Francs Borains

PPG 1.22 · HOME

LAST 5

WLW ··

UPCOMING

Lokeren-Temse

PPG 1.68 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS 61% chance

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-19.6%0-26.2%0-32.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.7%1-112.6%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.3%2-18.2%2-25.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.7%3-13.6%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 40.0% 2.50 -3.8%

Draw 26.0% 31.3% 3.20 -10.1%

Away win 35.4% 40.0% 2.50 -11.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 55.6% 1.80 -3.2%

Over 3.5 31.6% 33.3% 3.00 -5.2%

BTTS 54.6% 63.7% 1.57 -14.3%

Home O1.5 38.4% 44.4% 2.25 -13.6%

Away O1.5 38.9% 44.4% 2.25 -12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 1–2 8.1%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Francs Borains1.3

Lokeren-Temse1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FRANCS BORAINS · PPG 1.22

LOKEREN-TEMSE · PPG 1.68

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

61%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Francs Borains (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -3.8%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -10.1%

Lokeren-Temse (A) 35.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -11.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Francs Borains face Lokeren-Temse in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Francs Borains a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Lokeren-Temse 35%, so Francs Borains are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Francs Borains and 1.3 for Lokeren-Temse (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Francs Borains are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.68 for Lokeren-Temse.

Francs Borains vs Lokeren-Temse Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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