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Schalding vs T. Augsburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Schalding

PPG 1.14 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

T. Augsburg

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.14) vs P(Home)=61.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-14.6%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-19.6%1-24.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-16.9%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-15.8%4+-22.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.0% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 15.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 56.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.3%

H 61% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 3–0✓ 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schalding2.1

T. Augsburg1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHALDING · PPG 1.14

T. AUGSBURG · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.14) vs P(Home)=61.0%

Win probability 1X2

Schalding (H) 61.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

T. Augsburg (A) 15.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schalding face T. Augsburg in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schalding a 61% chance, the draw 23% and T. Augsburg 16%, so Schalding are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Schalding and 1.0 for T. Augsburg (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schalding are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.14 for T. Augsburg. This match finished 3-0.

Schalding vs T. Augsburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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