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Ismaning vs Nordlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Ismaning

PPG 1.54 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Nordlingen

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.7%0-24.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.7%1-18.6%1-27.9%1-34.8%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.6%3-14.8%3-24.4%3-32.7%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.4%4+-23.1%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 37.8% — — —

Over 2.5 70.9% — — —

Over 3.5 49.9% — — —

BTTS 71.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob71.9%

H 38% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1✓ 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ismaning1.8

Nordlingen1.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ISMANING · PPG 1.54

NORDLINGEN · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Ismaning (H) 37.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nordlingen (A) 37.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ismaning face Nordlingen in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ismaning a 38% chance, the draw 24% and Nordlingen 38%, so Ismaning are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ismaning and 1.8 for Nordlingen (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ismaning are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.23 for Nordlingen. This match finished 3-1.

Ismaning vs Nordlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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