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Heimstetten vs Kirchanschoring Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Heimstetten

PPG 1.86 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kirchanschoring

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.4%0-24.8%0-32.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-06.9%1-110.5%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.7%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.2%3-14.8%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.9%4+-22.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 33.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 39.1% — — —

BTTS 64.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.7%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Heimstetten1.7

Kirchanschoring1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HEIMSTETTEN · PPG 1.86

KIRCHANSCHORING · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Heimstetten (H) 39.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kirchanschoring (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Heimstetten face Kirchanschoring in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heimstetten a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Kirchanschoring 34%, so Heimstetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Heimstetten and 1.5 for Kirchanschoring (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heimstetten are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.36 for Kirchanschoring. This match finished 2-3.

Heimstetten vs Kirchanschoring Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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