RFC Liege vs Eupen Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Stade de Rocourt· Liège Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

RFC Liege PPG 1.87

2-1 HIT CS5

Eupen PPG 1.47

Away· -3.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

RFC Liege face Eupen in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RFC Liege a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Eupen 36%, so RFC Liege are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for RFC Liege and 1.2 for Eupen (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RFC Liege are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.47 for Eupen. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -13.8%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -8.0%

Away 35.8%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -3.3%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.7% Odds: 1.77 -28.0%

Over 3.5 20.3% Odds: 2.90 -41.1%

BTTS 46.9% Odds: 1.57 -26.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

RFC Liege

1.16

Eupen

1.16

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 67%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)