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Patro Eisden vs Francs Borains Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League logo Belgium flag Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Patrostadion· Maasmechelen Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00
Patro Eisden logo Patro Eisden PPG 1.67
4-0 MISS
Francs Borains logo Francs Borains PPG 0.80
Away· +13.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Patro Eisden face Francs Borains in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Patro Eisden a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Francs Borains 26%, so Patro Eisden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Patro Eisden and 1.0 for Francs Borains (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Patro Eisden are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Francs Borains. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.5%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.1%
Odds: 1.70 EV: -19.9%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -2.4%
Away 25.8%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +13.5%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.8% Odds: 2.05 -14.3%
Over 3.5 21.2% Odds: 3.70 -21.6%
BTTS 46.4% Odds: 1.91 -11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Patro Eisden
1.40
Francs Borains
0.96

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=47.1%

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