Today / Belgium - Challenger Pro League / Patro Eisden vs Francs Borains

Patro Eisden vs Francs Borains Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 34 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:00

Patro Eisden

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

4 – 0

FULL TIME

Francs Borains

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-19.1%0-24.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.3%1-112.7%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-18.9%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.1%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 58.8% 1.70 -19.9%

Draw 27.1% 27.8% 3.60 -2.4%

Away win 25.8% 22.7% 4.40 +13.5%

Over 2.5 41.8% 48.8% 2.05 -14.3%

Over 3.5 21.2% 27.0% 3.70 -21.6%

BTTS 46.4% 52.4% 1.91 -11.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.4%

H 47% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.3%

#2 1–1 12.7%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Patro Eisden1.4

Francs Borains1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PATRO EISDEN · PPG 1.67

FRANCS BORAINS · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

Chance this pick lands

47%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=47.1%

Win probability 1X2

Patro Eisden (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -19.9%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.4%

Francs Borains (A) 25.8%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +13.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Patro Eisden face Francs Borains in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Patro Eisden a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Francs Borains 26%, so Patro Eisden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Patro Eisden and 1.0 for Francs Borains (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Patro Eisden are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Francs Borains. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.5%. This match finished 4-0.

Patro Eisden vs Francs Borains Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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