Lierse K. vs Lokeren-Temse Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Herman Vanderpoortenstadion· Lier Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Lierse K. PPG 1.20

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Lokeren-Temse PPG 1.40

Home· -2.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lierse K. face Lokeren-Temse in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lierse K. a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Lokeren-Temse 43%, so Lokeren-Temse are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lierse K. and 1.4 for Lokeren-Temse (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lierse K. are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.40 for Lokeren-Temse. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.6%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -2.1%

Draw 26.6%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -8.2%

Away 42.8%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -12.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.0% Odds: 1.73 -20.4%

Over 3.5 24.6% Odds: 2.75 -32.4%

BTTS 50.7% Odds: 1.57 -20.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lierse K.

1.13

Lokeren-Temse

1.39

Model SuggestionBTTS -20.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 67%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.40)