KRC Genk B vs Jong Gent Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Cegeka Arena· Genk Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

KRC Genk B PPG 1.00

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Jong Gent PPG 1.40

Away· +19.3% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

KRC Genk B face Jong Gent in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KRC Genk B a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Jong Gent 43%, so Jong Gent are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for KRC Genk B and 1.7 for Jong Gent (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KRC Genk B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Jong Gent. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.3%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -26.3%

Draw 23.0%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -14.9%

Away 42.6%

Odds: 2.80 EV: +19.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.4% Odds: 1.48 -6.2%

Over 3.5 41.3% Odds: 2.20 -9.1%

BTTS 64.6% Odds: 1.40 -9.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

KRC Genk B

1.53

Jong Gent

1.73

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 67%

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)