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Junior vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction

Unknown League Friday, May 1, 2026
Junior PPG 1.78
3-1 MISS
Deportivo Pasto PPG 1.75
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Junior face Deportivo Pasto on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Junior a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo Pasto 30%, so Junior are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Junior and 1.2 for Deportivo Pasto (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Junior are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.75 for Deportivo Pasto. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 29.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 30.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.7% Odds: —
Over 3.5 28.6% Odds: —
BTTS 56.4% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Junior
1.46
Deportivo Pasto
1.24

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.78), Away GOOD (1.75)

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