Junior face Deportivo Pasto on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Junior a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo Pasto 30%, so Junior are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Junior and 1.2 for Deportivo Pasto (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Junior are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.75 for Deportivo Pasto. This match finished 3-1.
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.78), Away GOOD (1.75)