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Brno U19 vs Karvina U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 24 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 10:00

Brno U19

PPG 2.09 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Karvina U19

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.09) vs P(Home)=48.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-15.5%0-23.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.7%1-110.2%1-26.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.4%3-15.8%3-23.9%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.1%4+-22.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.6% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.6%

H 48% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 2–2✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brno U191.9

Karvina U191.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BRNO U19 · PPG 2.09

KARVINA U19 · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.09) vs P(Home)=48.1%

Win probability 1X2

Brno U19 (H) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karvina U19 (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brno U19 face Karvina U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brno U19 a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Karvina U19 26%, so Brno U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Brno U19 and 1.3 for Karvina U19 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brno U19 are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.09 for Karvina U19. This match finished 2-2.

Brno U19 vs Karvina U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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