Sparta P. U19 vs Budejovice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 Regular Season - 24 Friday, May 1, 2026 09:00

Sparta P. U19 PPG 1.82

2-3 MISS

Budejovice U19 PPG 1.00

Away· +11.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta P. U19 face Budejovice U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta P. U19 a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Budejovice U19 27%, so Sparta P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Sparta P. U19 and 1.7 for Budejovice U19 (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta P. U19 are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.00 for Budejovice U19. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.7%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.0%

Odds: 1.57 EV: -18.4%

Draw 21.4%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -12.3%

Away 26.6%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +11.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 59.2% Odds: 1.73 +2.4%

BTTS 75.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sparta P. U19

2.41

Budejovice U19

1.73

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.82) vs P(Home)=52.0%