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Hong-Kong - Premier League logo Hong-Kong flag Hong-Kong - Premier League Championship Group - 3 Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground· Hongkong Friday, May 1, 2026 07:00
Eastern SC logo Eastern SC PPG 1.89
3-1 MISS
North District logo North District PPG 1.60
Home· +28.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.8%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +28.0%
Draw 25.5%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -9.5%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -30.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.0% Odds: 1.50 -1.0%
Over 3.5 44.2% Odds: 2.20 -2.8%
BTTS 68.2% Odds: 1.42 -3.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Eastern SC
1.74
North District
1.66

Model Suggestion

BTTS -3.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+28.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%
O2.5/Under 69%
BTTS/No 75%
Score Hit 19%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.89), Away GOOD (1.60)

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