Jaguares de C. face Cucuta on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaguares de C. a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Cucuta 30%, so Jaguares de C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Jaguares de C. and 1.3 for Cucuta (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaguares de C. are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.44 for Cucuta.
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=41.9%