I. Medelin face R. Aguilas on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. Medelin a 46% chance, the draw 30% and R. Aguilas 24%, so I. Medelin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for I. Medelin and 1.0 for R. Aguilas (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. Medelin are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.13 for R. Aguilas.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)