Deportes Tolima face Deportivo Cali on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportes Tolima a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Deportivo Cali 22%, so Deportes Tolima are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportes Tolima and 0.8 for Deportivo Cali (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportes Tolima are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 0.88 for Deportivo Cali. This match finished 3-1.
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=45.7%