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Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali Prediction

Unknown League Friday, May 1, 2026
Deportes Tolima PPG 2.44
3-1 MISS
Deportivo Cali PPG 0.88
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportes Tolima face Deportivo Cali on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportes Tolima a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Deportivo Cali 22%, so Deportes Tolima are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportes Tolima and 0.8 for Deportivo Cali (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportes Tolima are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 0.88 for Deportivo Cali. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 32.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 22.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 17.2% Odds: —
BTTS 43.6% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Tolima
1.31
Deportivo Cali
0.84

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=45.7%

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