Today / Boyaca Chico vs Llaneros

Boyaca Chico vs Llaneros Prediction

Friday, May 1, 2026

Boyaca Chico

PPG 1.63 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Llaneros

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-114.5%0-27.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.4%1-113.4%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.7%2-16.2%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.8%3-11.9%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.6% — — —

Draw 34.6% — — —

Away win 36.8% — — —

Over 2.5 32.7% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 42.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob42.1%

D 35% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 0–1 14.5%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boyaca Chico0.9

Llaneros1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BOYACA CHICO · PPG 1.63

LLANEROS · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Boyaca Chico (H) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Llaneros (A) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Boyaca Chico face Llaneros on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boyaca Chico a 29% chance, the draw 35% and Llaneros 37%, so Llaneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Boyaca Chico and 1.1 for Llaneros (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boyaca Chico are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.33 for Llaneros. This match finished 1-2.

Boyaca Chico vs Llaneros Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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