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Ferroviaria W vs Mixto W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Brazil - Brasileiro Women logo Brazil flag Brazil - Brasileiro Women Regular Season - 9 Arena Fonte Luminosa· Araraquara Friday, May 1, 2026 20:00
Ferroviaria W logo Ferroviaria W PPG 2.00
3-0 MISS
Mixto W logo Mixto W PPG 0.50
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferroviaria W face Mixto W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferroviaria W a 57% chance, the draw 27% and Mixto W 16%, so Ferroviaria W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Ferroviaria W and 0.8 for Mixto W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferroviaria W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Mixto W. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 26.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 16.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: —
BTTS 48.7% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferroviaria W
1.75
Mixto W
0.84

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -67.8%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=57.1%

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